Ed, winning can mean many different things. Take a look at any race and you'll quickly realize that, all other things being equal, it's a pretty small race where you have even a 1% chance of being the first across the finish line (and, of course, all other things are never equal). First across the finish line, though, is only one way to win. There are other place goals, there are rivals to beat, there are time barriers, there are even more subjective victories, such as running a strategically smart race on a course that tends to give you problems. Or, simply, running the best you could on the given day is a win – no matter how few or many people cross the finish line before you.